Press Digest
Press digest - year 2006
| A number of new brands are about to appear on the coffee shelves of Bulgarian food stores, jostling for a share of the local market which is growing by 2-3% annually. Coffee makers estimate domestic consumption at 13,000-14,000 tons annually, excluding the instant coffee brands of companies like Nestle and Kraft Foods. Kraft brands Nova Brasilia and Jacobs dominate retail sales, followed by Elite, Douwe Egberts, Tchibo and Lavazza. Lavazza controls 70% of sales at restaurants and cafes, followed by Spetema and Elite. New competition will come from Kraft brand Mastro Lorenzo which started selling in Bulgaria recently. The Turkish coffee brand Meltem will appear on the Bulgarian market soon. The blend, which will be packaged in Turkey, was created especially for the Bulgarian market and will be medium-priced. Source: Dnevnik (14.02.2006) |
| Food industry is a traditionally strong branch of the Bulgarian economy. It depends to a great extent on the development of the agriculture as it is the source of raw materials for the industry but is also dependent on the machine building and the chemical industries as well as on the transport sector.
There are several basic factors that influence the food industry, the most important of which are
the seasonal nature of the production activities
the climate
the facilities
the workforce
the infrastructure
When assessing all the segments of the industry, one should bear in mind the substantial growth of the food retail trade over the past few years. In the period 1990-2001 alone, the number of grocery stores tripled and after 2001 many large supermarkets
and retail chains set foot in Bulgaria. The increasing number of supe rmarkets allowed food industry companies to take advantage of a large distribution
channel. Thus, little by little, marketing
channels (advertising, promotions, packaging, prices)
have become of vital importance for the choice
of consumers. Food retail sales per capita are still
lower in eastern Europe compared to central Europe.
(see table 1)
In 2005, the average number of fast moving goods
purchased upon a sigle visit to the store grew by
10.3% compared to 2004. As consumption is growing
(up 3.3% in terms of quantity), the frequency of shopping,
in turn, is getting lower (-6.3%). This means that
in the long run Bulgarians will get used to shopping
once a week from the large hypermarkets. In 2004,
hypermarkets accounted for 14% of the spending on
fast moving consumer goods and in 2005 their share is
expected to rise to over 16%. (see diagram 1)
Bulgaria's future EU accession will result in a restructuring
of the food retail sector - the number of
small shops will decrease rapidly at the expense of
the growing number of hypermarkets.
Statistics
Production, processing and canning of
meat and meat products
Meat production and processing is one of the
major sectors of the food industry and it accounts
for approximately 20% of the output of the industry.
In Bulgaria the total average annual meat
consumption stands at a mere 37.6 kg. The meat
processing sector is in fact 100% privately owned
at present. Many small and medium-sized companies
are operating in it. (see table 2)
Processing and production of milk, dairy
products and ice cream
According to data from the National Veterinary
Service, there are 148 dairy farms with an industrial
capacity in Bulgaria at present and 30 small
ones. Data from the Agriculture Ministry shows
that there are 28 companies producing dairy products
(ice cream excluded) which are licensed to export
to the EU. These 28 companies process almost
36% of the collected and processed milk. The
companies licensed to export to the EU accounted
for 27.4% of the cheese and 27.5% of the yellow
cheese production in 2004. (see table 3)
Over the past few years, there has been a growth
in the production of buffalo and goat milk, which are
high in fat content and are much in demand on the
European market. These milk varieties are produced
above all by individual farmers and therefore it is
hard to control the veterinary norms. That is why a
mere 2,000 tonnes of goat milk were processed in
dairy farms in 2004 against a total output of over
125,000 tonnes. Farmers prefer not to sell their milk
to processing companies because of the low buyout
prices, which are the same as those of cow milk - up
to 0.40-0.45 levs per litre. A total 7,000 tonnes of
buffalo milk were produced in 2005 against 4,400
tonnes in the previous year. (see diagram 2)
Production of bread and bakery products
The number of bread and bakery companies
stands at about 4,000. There is also a certain
number of illegal producers but their influence on
the competition is insignificant, especially in large
and medium-sized cities. Data of the National Statistics
Institute shows that the daily consumption
of bread and bakery products per capita dropped
to 330 gr in 2005 compared to 413 gr ten years
ago. Wheat bread accounts for the bulk of this
consumption. There is high demand for fresh and
cheap bread varieties. The share of packaged bread
are on the rise. At present about 12% of all breads
come in a package. Flour prices predetermine over
50% of the cost price of bread. Bulgaria's wheat
harvest reached 3.0 million tonnes in 2005 but
most of it does not have good enough baking quality.
This is due to a great extent to the poor quality
of the wheat caused by this year's floods. The
grain producing sector as a whole is undergoing
certain problems.
Industrial bread producers are among the first to
start covering EU production criteria. Most of the
production facilities built in the past 30 years meet all
of the construction requirements. Bread making does
not require significant investments as an enterprise
of this kind only has 3-4 critical points at the most.
Bread production does not involve many health risks,
which is an advantage to meat or milk production. By
the end of 2006 almost all industrial Bulgarian bread
producers are expected to have introduced HACCP.
The sales of cereals in Bulgaria increased significantly
between 2000 and 2005, especially those of muesli,
cornflakes, etc. According to the latest report of
the Euromonitor marketing agency, the consumption
of this type of cereal had almost doubled in terms of
value over the past few years. In 2005 alone, the turnover
of this market grew by 14%. This, however, only
proves that Bulgarians doe not realise the advantages
of (or cannot afford) wholesome foods. The muesli
sales underwent the sharpest increase (+194%) over
the past five years but it still remains the least popular
cereal in Bulgaria. Despite the increase, the market is
still underdeveloped given the consumption of wholesome
cereals per capita, which stands at an average
110 gr a year, while in the UK it exceeds 3 kg.
Canning industry
The majority of the raw materials for the canned
foods industry are difficult to transport and that is
why most canning factories are located in the regions
where vegetables are produced. There is a
definite upbeat trend in Bulgaria's fruit and vegetable
processing and canning industry,whose 2004
output was over 194,000 tonnes, up 43% compared
to the previous year. Fruit accounted for 67,000
tonnes and vegetables stood at 127,000 tonnes.
Canning accounts for 51% of the entire output of
the fruit processing industry, juices and concentrates
were 13% and frozen fruit were 21%. As
regards vegetables, canned vegetables were 58%,
followed by vegetable juices and concentrates. The
market of convenience foods in Bulgaria was one
of the first to attract foreign investors. Bulgarians
turned out to be quite conservative and at first did
not embrace the idea of convenience foods. Gradually,
however, attitudes started to change and in
2004 Nestle Bulgaria reported selling 37 million
Maggi boullion cubes, which accounted for twothird
of the overall consumption of such products.
The sales of Maggi fix products in 2004 exceeded
by 550% preliminary expectation. Local marketing
tuned to the typical preferences of the Bulgarian
consumer turned out to be a winning strategy.
Production of sugar, chocolate and
confectionery products
According to a research of ER Consult & Management,
in September 2005 there were 1,097 local
sugar, chocolate and confectionery producers in
Bulgaria. NSI data shows that confectionery export
are on the rise marking a 44% year-on-year increase
in June 2005. The increase in chocolate exports was
14% and the rise in the sugar products exports was
54%. The prices of confectionery products is currently
expected to rise by an average 10% as a result
of the almost twofold increase in sugar prices and
the increase in the prices of EU-imported powdered
milk. Bulgarians spend an average annual 250 million
levs on chocolate, chocolate candies, chocolate
desserts and chocolate wafer bars. The market share
of imports ranges between 2% as regards chocolate
wafer bars and 80% as regards chocolate spreads.
Some 30% of the chocolates are imported as well
as 50% of the candy bars. The chocolate products
market can roughly be divided into three segments
- chocolates, chocolate candies and chocolate wafer
bars. The chocolates segment is the smallest, which
is typical for Bulgaria but not for the rest of Europe.
The price of chocolate per kg in Bulgaria is 5.28
euro, the highest in the region, excluding Croatia,
where it is 8.52 euro. Kraft Foods was the leader
on the Bulgarian market with its brands Svoge
(36.6%), Milka (24.6%) and Mlechen Shokolad
(10%) according to GfK Bulgaria.
The chocolate candies segment is also marking
a growth. The average price of a kg of chocolate
candies is less than the price of a kg of chocolate.
Data from Kraft Foods Bulgaria shows that the average
spending on chocolate candies is about 80
million levs. The share of upscale chocolate candies
is expected to rise in the future.
The third segment, that of chocolate wafer bars,
is the largest one but it is highly specific for the local
market. There was a drop in this segment in
2005 despite the fact that there are more than 180
brands of wafer bars on the market. Source: Dnevnik (27.03.2006) |
| Over 30 world famous companies have sent their top managers to the American University in Bulgaria (AUBG), based in the town of Blagoevgrad, southern Bulgaria, to recruit students. Among the leading world companies are M-Tel, KPMG, Deloitte&Touche, Kraft Foods, Danone Serdika JSC, Kempinski, Metro. The AUBG organizes such initiative for 12th time and its purpose is to improve the professional development and level of its students. Source: Standart (05.04.2006) |
| The Bulgarian chocolate market expanded by 10% with domestic production reaching 35,000 tons in 2005, shows data of Kraft Foods Bulgaria. The main competition for the Kraft Foods flagship chocolate brands in Bulgaria - Milka and Svoge, comes from Nestle Bulgaria which controls 12% of chocolate sales. Milka sales outstripped Svoge in 2005 and now it holds 40% of the market versus 35% for Svoge, said Doroteya Aleksieva, the Milka brand manager at Kraft Foods Bulgaria. The Milka range, some of which is manufactured locally, is benefiting from a consumer shift towards mid-priced and premium chocolates. While Kraft Foods dominates the chocolate segment, Nestle leads the sales of chocolate bars and wafer snacks with a 45% market share. Source: Dnevnik (08.05.2006) |
| Plovdiv Yuri Gagarin-BT was established in 1964. The company specialises in the production of filters, packaging and non-standard equipment for the cigarette industry, as well as in the imports and exports of spare parts and the repair of cigarette manufacturing equipment. Yuri Gagarin-BT was restructured in 1993 with the establishment of Bulgartabac Holding. The state transferred its stake in Yuri Gagarin-BT to Bulgartabac Holding in 1997. The holding currently owns 80.57% of the capital of the Plovdiv-based company. Other companies own 16.23% of the capital of Yuri Gagarin-BT, while the remaining 3.2% is held by individuals.
Filter and packaging production accounts for 94.8% of the operating income of the company. The companies within Bulgartabac Holding's structure account for 87% of the income of Yuri Gagarin-BT. Kraft Jacobs Suchard Bulgaria, Nestle and Solvex are among the other key clients of the company.
Exports accounted for a mere 7.25% of the general income of the company in 2005. Nevertheless, foreign clients from Russia, Moldova, Ukraine, Poland, Turkey, Germany and Greece are placing orders with the company for the production of packaging, filters, spare parts and non-standard equipment.
Yuri Gagarin-BT implemented a large-scale investment programme in 2005. A modern printing machine was installed, adding a competitive edge to the company in the production of packaging not only for the tobacco industry. Yuri Gagarin-BT also installed a new filter manufacturing machine and supplied its premises with gas.
The stock price of the company has been influenced over the last two years mainly by news on the privatisation of Bulgartabac Holding and information on the development of the tobacco industry. The high return provided by Yuri Gagarin-BT's stock can be put down mainly to the specific operations of the company, as well as to the fact that it can develop independently from its owner. The stock of the company has outperformed significantly the SOFIX blue-chip index of the Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE) over the last two years.
Despite the considerable growth achieved over the last year, judging from public information on Yuri Gagarin-BT and own forecasts on the financial performance of the company, we consider the price of the stock to be undervalued. Our forecasts are that the price of the stock will reach a level of BGN 66.05 per share over the next 12 months. Source: Pari (06.07.2006) |
| A new company has been selected to import and distribute in Bulgaria upmarket coffee brand Illy. B.V.link, which replaces Simek as the coffee brand's local distributor, plans to build a logistics and distribution center near Sofia. The company, which is Greek-owned, has already bought a 0.8 ha lot for the center in Bozhurishte, a residential district in the west of the Bulgarian capital. The facility, which will handle only Illy shipments, should be operational by mid-2007. Some 80% of Illy's local consumption comes from on-trade sales. B.V.link will keep under control the way the beverage is made and served at the establishments offering Illy coffee. B.V.link estimates domestic coffee sales at 13,000-14,000 tons annually, ex instant coffee. Off-trade coffee sales are dominated by Nova Brasilia, a Kraft Foods brand, Jacobs, Elit, Douwe Egberts, a Sara Lee brand, Tchibo and Lavazza. Lavazza owns a 70% share of the on-trade segment, followed by Spetema and Elit. Source: Dnevnik (11.07.2006) |
| Over 250 residents of Plovdiv, Southern Bulgaria, and Svoge, Northern Bulgaria, have been diagnosed with hepatitis A, said the Bulgarian health ministry. The World Health Organisation is expected to announce the cause of the Svoge cases on Mon or Tue after a team from the organisation visited the city last Fri. The potable water sources in Svoge have tested negative for the virus. A substantial number of the infected people in Svoge work at the local Kraft Foods Bulgaria chocolate factory. The company has not made on official statement so far. Source: Dnevnik (31.07.2006) |
| Kraft Foods, the international food and beverage company, said it has invested BGN 1 mln in the launch of a new production line for the Milka chocolate boxes at its Svoge factory in Bulgaria. This type of Milka chocolates was previously manufactured only in France. The bulk of the output, seen at 700 tons in 2007, will be shipped to Romania, Turkey and the former Yugoslavia states. The launch of the local production will entail some modifications to the package colouring, shape and weight, said the company. In a recent interview for news agency SeeNews, Bulgarian managing director Christoph Wenisch said chocolate in Bulgaria is a market of more than BGN 300 mln consisting of three segments: tablets, pralines and personal snacks. 'The personal snacks market is somewhat larger than the other two segments and all three are growing between 5.0 per cent and 10 per cent,' Wenisch said. 'We expect to have about 40 per cent in pralines and in personal snacks around 20 per cent market share by the end of 2006. 'Kraft Foods Bulgaria will lead the personal snacks market for the first time in 2006 after gaining around four percent additional share with our Moreni wafers and Svoge Republica bars.' Wenisch said. He added the company's main international competitor in wafers was Nestle's Mura, but also domestic Borovets by Day and Night and Prestige's Troy, Spoko and Hyper. In bars, Kraft competes against U.S. Mars and Turkish Ulker. Kraft claims to lead the chocolate tablets market with its international Milka, Toblerone and luxury Suchard Sensations brands but also with its local brands Svoge and Mlechen. Milka is the clear market leader, it continues to grow with share in excess of 40 per cent, Wenisch told SeeNews. Source: Dnevnik (08.11.2006) |
| The price of wafers in Bulgaria has risen 4 per cent year-on-year in the first half of 2006 to reflect higher sugar prices while packaging is getting slightly smaller, shows data of market research outfit GfK. Chocolates and cereals posted the fastest sales growth in Q3 on the confectionery market, gaining 23 per cent year-on-year, said GfK. They are followed by croissants with 17 per cent increase. Wafer sales fell 2 per cent in Q3 after notching up 13 per cent and 8 per cent gains in the previous two quarters. Source: Dnevnik (08.12.2006) | |